This fall, Doug Ford is toxic - 2019-09-27
Far from Ford. Political observers have noticed Doug Ford's absence from Andrew Scheer's campaign trail. The distance, many believe, is deliberate, as the Ontario premier has become the second-least popular premier in Canada, expanding class sizes while effectively instating a hiring freeze that will cost the province 10,000 teachers over the next five years. His fragile records on health care and autism, combined with the number of friends who've found their way into high-profile positions (only to later quit or be removed), have also made him an easy target.
It's a target Scheer would rather avoid. A new survey from the Angus Reid Institute suggests that Ford's election last year will sway nearly half of Ontarians' votes, with the vast majority (85 per cent) saying it makes them less likely to vote for Scheer. In short: 42 per cent of Ontarians already won't vote for Scheer because of Ford, which is marginally higher than the average influence premiers have on federal elections (39 per cent). The Toronto area will be a decisive battleground, according to the polling institute:
Currently, 36 per cent of Ontario residents say that they will support the Liberals in the October election, while 35 per cent choose the CPC. The Liberal Party holds a commanding lead in the City of Toronto, while the Greater Toronto Area continues to be a close race. Outside of the GTA, the Conservatives are chosen by 46 per cent of residents and the Liberals by one-in-three (33%).