Why Edinburgh University's lockdown study is not all it seems - 2020-10-08

From UmbraXenu
Jump to: navigation, search
F345.png Why Edinburgh University's lockdown study is not all it seems October 8, 2020, Linda Geddes, The Guardian

The study's conclusions are consistent with the strategy proposed in the Great Barrington declaration – a letter signed by an international group of scientists earlier this week – arguing for "focused protection" of the most vulnerable and allowing the rest of society to return to relative normality.

However, assumptions made by the study mean its conclusions would only hold water if all social distancing restrictions were lifted, resulting in a large second wave and others after that, and if an effective vaccine were not forthcoming.

"More realistically, if the case isolation, household quarantine, and social distancing of over-70s strategy is followed, alongside other non-pharmaceutical intervention measures such as non-mandatory social distancing and improved medical outcomes, the second wave will grow more slowly than the first, with more cases but lower mortality," the authors said.

Wikipedia cite:
{{cite news | first = Linda | last = Geddes | title = Why Edinburgh University's lockdown study is not all it seems | url = https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/oct/08/lockdown-could-have-increased-covid-death-toll-scottish-study-finds | work = The Guardian | date = October 8, 2020 | accessdate = October 10, 2020 }}