Will it take Italy's disaster before Americans stop blaming the media for coronavirus? - 2020-03-14
I'm seeing a lot of people whining about media overreaction, evidently believing that this is an overblown overreaction to a bad strain of flu. Well, I've read a lot of stuff and can do math and these takes, which the president himself has been floating, are dangerously ignorant. Dr. Drew Pinsky is not a legitimate health official.
The most important pieces to this involve simple math: As compared to the baseline of the common flu, COVID-19 is an estimated 10 times more lethal and far more transmittable.
Whereas a typical person who contracts the flu will pass it on to 1.3 people until the strain dies out, the R0 ("R Naught") value for coronavirus is estimated to be around 2.2, which means that every person who contracts it will, on average, pass it on to more than two people. Now consider how long the virus can last in a carrier (weeks) and on surfaces (possibly days), and then consider how quickly the number two, if repeatedly doubled, can turn into millions.