How much should Scheer's Conservatives be counting on vote-splitting on the centre left? - 2019-05-10
Conservatives are starting to feel bullish about vote-splitting.
Until recently, the ability of New Democrats to pull votes away from Liberals was a source of consternation for Andrew Scheer's party. If Jagmeet Singh didn't get his act together, it might be too easy for Justin Trudeau to rally the centre-left behind him, and take a big enough share of public support to block the Tories' path to power.
Now, another party seems to be changing the equation. Even before this week, Conservatives were wondering aloud if the Green Party – coming off a string of seat pickups by its provincial cousins – might be as useful as the NDP in providing an alternative for voters who cast ballots for the Liberals in 2015.